Wildfires are a main threat to humans and ecosystems in the Mediterranean area and global changes are predicted to alter fire regimes during the next decades. In this context, the assessment of the main drivers of fire activity in the Mediterranean area is of particular importance for policy-makers and land managers in order to mitigate its impact on ecosystems, human lives and facilities
Among the biophysical and human drivers of fire activity, the variations in climatic/weather conditions are one of the main drivers of fire activity. Yet, in Southern France, this climate/weather fire relationship remains partly unknown. We aim to address the following issues: (i) Assessing the local meteorological and synoptic conditions that drive fire activity, with special focus on atmospheric conditions associated with largest fires (as those during the summer of 2003); (ii) Estimating the future of fire-related climatic conditions (as frequency of the weather types related to large fires) till 2100 using CMIP5 runs.
This project is part of collaboration between Irstea (France), Cerege (France), and the University of Lisbon (Portugal). We aim to extrapolate the results and information gained in Provence (France) and Portugal to other countries having similar climate, ecosystems, and human footprint such as Spain or Greece.